In the 20th century, companies waited until their industries and competitors fully vetted technologies before investing in even the most tried and true ones. Technophobes believed that investing too early was indulgent and reckless. Executives wore their late technology adoption strategies as badges of corporate honor. Today, emerging technologies are ready for immediate deployment: iPads are ready; Dropbox is ready; Skype is ready; ListenLogic is ready; Foursquare is ready; YouTube is ready.
I predict that these and many other hardware and software technologies will be adopted without clear (or “validated”) requirements models, without the venerable SDLC, and even without rapid prototyping. I predict that technology adoption will turbo-charge into instant deployments.
The figure below summarizes defined and ready technology adoption and the implications of ready technology adoption. It also provides some examples.
I predict that the immediate deployment of ready technology will rapidly accelerate and eventually become a widespread best practice. Immediate technology deployment – of especially consumerized technologies – will forever change the way we think about how technology can impact business models and processes – and disrupt the status quo.
[Editor’s Note: This post is part of the annual “Cutter Predicts …” series.]